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Tortoise & Hare

AIMING LAB / GOAL SEEKING

0.00 simulated seconds
Playback changes animation speed, not who wins.Ready to race
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Tortoise

Precise, deliberate steps

Pending
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Hare

Quick, uncertain steps

Pending

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Run 500 trials with these settings, or compare the hare’s error and step frequency.

No trials yet. The same seed reproduces the same race.
What does this model assume?

At each step, the racer aims at the goal plus an independent normally distributed angular error. “Aiming error” is the standard deviation, in degrees. At 90°, roughly 32% of headings point backward. A constant bias adds systematic misalignment.

Steps start immediately and move at constant speed until the next re-aim. Finishing time includes the fractional step that first intersects the goal. No walls, obstacles, rests, or hill climbing are included. A time limit is a censored result, never an automatic loss to the other unfinished racer.

Far from the goal, average forward speed ≈ steps/second × step size × exp(−σ²/2) × cos(bias), with angles in radians. This is a local projection, not an exact prediction of finishing time. Large steps introduce sideways detours and make the last few units harder.

Batch trials use independent, reproducible random streams for the two racers. Medians describe finishers only; unfinished counts and a 95% Wilson interval for the hare’s win probability are shown separately.